Monetary policy committees in the conditions of the coronavirus pandemic outbreak

G. Bortnikov, O. Lyubich, D. Khokhych
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Abstract

Introduction. In conditions of systemic shocks, such as the coronavirus pandemic, monetary policy decision-making requires collegiality. Monetary policy committees (MPCs) are a successful institutional solution in the conditions of information asymmetry and available alternatives for responding with monetary measures to dynamic changes in the economy and shocks. Problem Statement. In Ukraine, at the level of the central bank and in the scientific opinion, the role and status of the MPCs in ensuring financial stability is underestimated, which is perceived more as a working body of the Board of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU). The formation of its composition which includes only top managers of the NBU does not guarantee against the adoption of biased or short-sighted decisions, which can lead to negative consequences for economic growth. There is a need to bring the principles of this collegial body into line with the best practices of central banks. Purpose.To generalize international experience in the institutional development of national central banks in the direction of the corporate structure of the monetary policy committee to ensure greater efficiency of its work and the application of best practices in Ukraine. Methods. Content analysis, methods of scientific abstraction, comparative analysis of statistical information published by central banks of countries that are not part of the European Central Bank system were used. Results. The coronavirus pandemic did not cause significant changes in the organization of committee activities, but it increased the importance of involving external experts to assess and forecast the situation. The analysis of the biographical data of such persons showed that they are highly qualified specialists, recognized in the country and by the international community. In the decisions of individual political bodies the reference to the expectations of the market participants (for example, the prediction of the decision related to maintainance , increase or decrease of the discount rate) deserves special attention as well as the requirement for the members of the body to observe a period of “silence” for at least one week, which means refraining from comments on the statement of position before the meeting. Of course, the practice of involvement the representatives of the Ministry of Finance in meetings of the committee without voting rights is of interest. Conclusions. Monetary policy committees work primarily to ensure price stability, but with a perspective for economic development. The main functions of MPCs in most European countries are not limited to setting the discount rate, but cover reserve requirements, approval of liquidity support programs and refinancing of banks, operations of the central bank in the foreign exchange market and with securities. For Ukraine, it is considered optimal to form MPCs not under the Board, but under the National Bank itself in order to raise its status to the level of a decision-making body. For this amendments should be made to the Law “On the National Bank of Ukraine” and regulations or provisions on the MPCs should be developed. The participation of external experts in the committee is necessary for making informed decisions. Their level of qualification should be confirmed by a doctorate in economics or finance and the status of professor, a solid list of scientific publications and experience of participation in international research. Management experience in public financial corporations, central banks and departments or large financial institutions is desirable. In our opinion, the participation of politicians in the committee is inappropriate, because in the current conditions it will only undermine the independence of the central bank.
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货币政策委员会在冠状病毒大流行爆发的情况下
介绍。在冠状病毒大流行等系统性冲击的情况下,货币政策决策需要团队合作。货币政策委员会(MPCs)是信息不对称条件下的一种成功的制度解决方案,也是用货币措施应对经济动态变化和冲击的可行选择。问题陈述。在乌克兰,在中央银行层面和科学观点中,货币政策委员会在确保金融稳定方面的作用和地位被低估了,它更多地被视为乌克兰国家银行(NBU)董事会的一个工作机构。其组成仅包括NBU的高级管理人员,这并不能保证不采取有偏见或短视的决定,这可能导致对经济增长的负面影响。有必要使这个合议制机构的原则与各国央行的最佳做法保持一致。目的。向货币政策委员会的公司结构方向总结各国中央银行体制发展方面的国际经验,以确保提高其工作效率并在乌克兰应用最佳做法。方法。本文采用了内容分析、科学抽象、比较分析等方法,对非欧洲中央银行体系国家中央银行公布的统计信息进行了分析。结果。冠状病毒大流行并未对委员会活动的组织造成重大变化,但增加了让外部专家参与评估和预测形势的重要性。对这些人的履历资料的分析表明,他们是高度合格的专家,在该国和国际社会得到承认。在个别政治机构的决定中,应特别注意市场参与者的期望(例如,对有关维持、增加或减少贴现率的决定的预测),以及要求该机构成员遵守至少一周的“沉默”期,这意味着在会议前不对立场声明发表评论。当然,让财政部代表参与委员会会议而没有表决权的做法值得关注。结论。货币政策委员会的工作主要是确保价格稳定,但也考虑到经济发展。在大多数欧洲国家,货币政策委员会的主要职能不仅限于设定贴现率,还包括准备金要求、批准流动性支持计划和银行再融资、中央银行在外汇市场和证券市场的操作。对乌克兰来说,最好不是在理事会之下,而是在国家银行之下成立货币政策委员会,以便将其地位提高到决策机构的水平。为此,应修订“乌克兰国家银行法”,并制定关于货币政策委员会的条例或规定。为了作出明智的决定,外部专家参与委员会是必要的。他们的资格水平应由经济学或金融学博士学位和教授地位、一份可靠的科学出版物清单和参与国际研究的经验来确认。有公共金融公司、中央银行、部门或大型金融机构管理经验者优先。在我们看来,政治家参与委员会是不合适的,因为在目前的条件下,这只会破坏央行的独立性。
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