Modelling yield distribution for parametric crop insurance

Eric Dal Moro
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Abstract

In developing countries, crop insurance is a major factor of sustainability for farming business. Due to the lack of infrastructure and of claims experts in these regions, parametric crop insurance is the favorite way of providing insurance. Parametric insurance has the advantage of reducing the moral hazard and the difficulty to reach remote locations when it comes to estimating indemnification. In this context, it is important to be able to model properly the yield distributions, such distribution being at the heart of the insurance pricing. This article proposes a way to derive general characteristics of the crop yields based on first principles.
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参数化作物保险产量分布建模
在发展中国家,农作物保险是农业业务可持续性的一个主要因素。由于这些地区缺乏基础设施和理赔专家,参数作物保险是最受欢迎的保险方式。参数保险的优点是减少道德风险和难以到达偏远地区,当涉及到估计赔偿。在这种情况下,能够正确地建立收益率分布模型是很重要的,这种分布是保险定价的核心。本文提出了一种基于第一性原理推导作物产量一般特征的方法。
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