Estimating Normalized Graph Laplacians in Financial Markets

José V. de M. Cardoso, Jiaxi Ying, Sandeep Kumar, D. Palomar
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Abstract

Gaussian Markov random fields, a class of graphical models, play an increasingly important role in real-world problems, where they are often applied to uncover conditional correlations between pairs of entities in a network. Motivated by recent applications of graphs in financial markets, we investigate the problem of learning undirected, weighted, normalized, graphical models. More precisely, we design an optimization algorithm to learn precision matrices that are modeled as normalized graph Laplacians. The proposed algorithm takes advantages of frameworks such as the alternating direction method of multipliers and projected gradient descent, which allows us to decompose the original problem into subproblems that can be solved efficiently. We demonstrate the empirical performance of the proposed algorithm, in comparison to state-of-the-art benchmark models, in a number of datasets involving financial time-series.
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金融市场中的归一化图拉普拉斯估计
高斯马尔可夫随机场是一类图形模型,在现实世界的问题中扮演着越来越重要的角色,它们经常被用于揭示网络中实体对之间的条件相关性。受图在金融市场中最近应用的启发,我们研究了学习无向、加权、归一化、图模型的问题。更准确地说,我们设计了一个优化算法来学习精确矩阵,这些矩阵被建模为归一化图拉普拉斯算子。该算法利用乘法器交替方向法和投影梯度下降法等框架,将原问题分解为可有效求解的子问题。与最先进的基准模型相比,我们在涉及金融时间序列的许多数据集中展示了所提出算法的经验性能。
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