Studies on Some Issues Specific to Demography during COVID-19 Pandemic

Pia Ghoshal, Aniruddha Banerji
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Abstract

The COVID-19 (coronavirus disease) pandemic, the causative agent of which is the RNA virus SARS-CoV-2, has led to the biggest health crisis in the recent history of the world. The pandemic is not only continually challenging the healthcare system but is also leading to drastic changes in the demographic structure of the population and is causing a considerable loss of human capital. The objective of this article is to take an early look at the demographic aspect of the COVID-19 pandemic and the immense future impacts it can have on demography and human capital formation in the years to come. Pandemics like COVID-19 pose a significant threat to both development and maintenance of human capital and can lead to drastic changes in the population structures and disrupt the demographic transition of populations in different countries worldwide. The observed demographic change along with changes in population age structure (where certain cohorts are more severely affected) brought about by the pandemic have also potentially increased the dependent population whose overall development is hampered due to restrictions imposed on their freedom and lifestyle which can lead to a significant and stringent loss of their capability to productively contribute to a country’s future. The recent mutations reported in 2021 are also leading to the untimely demise of people of the skilled working age groups. The resultant disruption of the process of human capital formation can have severe multi-dimensional and intergenerational implications. As the effects of COVID-19 on demographics and human capital formation can be long lasting, along with development of healthcare facilities, judicious planning in these fields is also of considerable importance.
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COVID-19大流行期间人口统计学的若干问题研究
以RNA病毒SARS-CoV-2为病原体的COVID-19(冠状病毒病)大流行引发了世界近代史上最大的健康危机。这一流行病不仅不断挑战保健系统,而且还导致人口结构的急剧变化,并造成人力资本的大量损失。本文旨在初步探讨2019冠状病毒病大流行在人口方面的影响,以及它在未来几年可能对人口和人力资本形成产生的巨大影响。COVID-19等大流行病对人力资本的发展和维持构成重大威胁,并可能导致人口结构发生剧烈变化,扰乱世界各国人口的人口转型。观察到的人口变化以及大流行病带来的人口年龄结构变化(某些群体受到的影响更为严重)也可能增加受抚养人口,这些人口的整体发展由于对其自由和生活方式施加的限制而受到阻碍,这可能导致他们严重丧失为国家未来作出生产性贡献的能力。2021年报告的最近突变也导致熟练工作年龄组的人过早死亡。由此造成的人力资本形成过程的中断可能产生严重的多方面和代际影响。由于COVID-19对人口结构和人力资本形成的影响可能是长期的,以及医疗设施的发展,因此在这些领域进行明智的规划也非常重要。
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