Analysis of model for the transmission dynamics of Zika with sterile insect technique

Salisu M. Garba, Usman Ahmed Danbaba
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引用次数: 9

Abstract

One of the major reason for the persistence of Zika and other vector borne diseases has been lack of effective mosquito control techniques. Sterile insect technique (SIT) is a non polluting biological method of mosquito control, where sterile mosquitoes are predominantly non reproductive. We present a new deterministic model for the transmission dynamics of Zika, by incorporating both human and mosquito population, with fraction of mosquitoes being sterilized. We consider both aquatic and non-aquatic stages of mosquitoes, so as to evaluate the effect of mosquito control in the transmission of the disease. We computed the basic reproduction number ($R_{0}$), and theoretically analysed the stability properties of the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) and the endemic-equilibrium (EE). In addition, effect of human-human transmission, and other important parameters were assessed. Numerical simulations to support the results will be presented.
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用昆虫不育技术分析寨卡病毒传播动力学模型
寨卡病毒和其他媒介传播疾病持续存在的主要原因之一是缺乏有效的蚊虫控制技术。昆虫不育技术(SIT)是一种无污染的蚊虫控制生物方法,其中不育蚊子主要是非生殖的。我们提出了一个新的寨卡病毒传播动力学的确定性模型,将人类和蚊子的种群纳入其中,其中一部分蚊子被绝育。我们考虑了蚊子的水生和非水生阶段,以评估蚊虫控制在疾病传播中的效果。计算了基本繁殖数$R_{0}$,并从理论上分析了无病平衡(DFE)和地方病平衡(EE)的稳定性。此外,还评估了人际传播效应和其他重要参数。将给出数值模拟来支持这些结果。
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