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A class of individual-based models 一类基于个体的模型
Pub Date : 2018-04-15 DOI: 10.11145/J.BIOMATH.2018.04.127
M. Lachowicz
We discuss a class of mathematical models of biological systems at microscopic level - i.e. at the level of interacting individuals of a population. The class leads to partially integral stochastic semigroups- [5]. We state general conditions guaranteeing the asymptotic stability.  In particular under some rather restrictive assumptions we observe that any, even non-factorized, initial probability density tends in the evolution to a factorized equilibrium probability density - [4]. We discuss possible applications of the general theory such as redistribution of individuals - [2], thermal denaturation of DNA [1], and tendon healing process - [3]. [1] M. Debowski, M. Lachowicz, and Z. Szymanska, Microscopic description of DNA thermal denaturation, to appear.  [2] M. Dolfin, M. Lachowicz, and A. Schadschneider, A microscopic model of redistribution of individuals inside an 'elevator', In Modern Problems in Applied Analysis, P. Drygas and S. Rogosin (Eds.), Bikhauser, Basel (2018), 77--86; DOI: 10.1007/978--3--319--72640-3. [3] G. Dudziuk, M. Lachowicz, H. Leszczynski, and Z. Szymanska, A simple model of collagen remodeling, to appear. [4] M. Lachowicz, A class of microscopic individual models corresponding to the macroscopic logistic growth, Math. Methods Appl. Sci., 2017, on--line, DOI: 10.1002/mma.4680 [5] K. Pichor and R. Rudnicki, Continuous Markov semigroups and stability of transport equations, J. Math. Analysis Appl. 249 , 2000, 668--685, DOI: 10.1006/jmaa.2000.6968
我们讨论了一类生物系统的数学模型在微观水平-即在相互作用的个体水平的群体。该类导致部分积分随机半群-[5]。给出了保证渐近稳定的一般条件。特别是在一些相当严格的假设下,我们观察到任何,甚至是非因式的,初始概率密度在演化中趋向于因式平衡概率密度-[4]。我们讨论了一般理论的可能应用,如个体的再分配- [2],DNA的热变性[1]和肌腱愈合过程-[3]。[1]陈晓明,陈晓明,陈晓明。DNA热变性的微观描述。[2]杜尔芬、李晓明、薛德施耐德,“电梯”内部个体再分配的微观模型,应用分析中的现代问题,P. Drygas和S. Rogosin(主编),Bikhauser,巴塞尔(2018),77—86;DOI: 10.1007/978 - 3 - 319 - 72640 - 3。[3]张晓明,张晓明,张晓明,等。胶原蛋白重塑模型的研究进展。[4]李志刚,李志刚,李志刚,一类微观个体模型与宏观logistic增长的对应关系,数学。方法:。科学。, 2017,在线,DOI: 10.1002/mma。[5]张建军,李建军,连续马尔可夫半群和输运方程的稳定性,数学学报。应用化学,2004,24,668—685,DOI: 10.1006/jmaa.2000.6968
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引用次数: 2
Estimating the mean of a small sample under the two parameter lognormal distribution 在双参数对数正态分布下估计小样本的均值
Pub Date : 2018-03-03 DOI: 10.11145/TEXTS.2018.02.027
P. Hingley
When making statistical inferences about the means of small samples, the confidence limits for the mean are often calculated assuming a normal distribution. But many biological variables follow the lognormal distribution cite{Johnson}, for example the birth weights of babies (EG data at cite{Iannelli}). Here, sampling distributions (probability density functions) are found for the maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) of sample mean and variance when data are lognormally distributed. They are derived analytically, making some use of the Technique for Estimator Densities (TED) cite{Hingley}, and then checked by using simulations with random numbers. For an I.I.D. sample of size n with lognormal estimation, the sample mean has a lognormal distribution that is conditional on the variance. The distribution of the sample variance of the logarithms follows the usual transform of the central chi-squared distribution. The joint distribution of the sample mean and variance shows the extent to which the mean is affected by the variance. When a normal distribution is wrongly used for estimation on lognormally distributed data, the sample mean still has a lognormal distribution. But the distribution for the MLE of the variance differs. From the distribution for one observation, that for larger sample sizes can be approached by using convolutions. The assumption of a normal estimation model biases the confidence interval for the mean. There is a discussion of the extent to which this is of practical importance when estimating means for small samples of birth weights and other lognormally distributed data sets.
在对小样本的均值进行统计推断时,通常假设正态分布来计算均值的置信限。但许多生物变量遵循对数正态分布cite{Johnson},例如婴儿的出生体重(EG数据见cite{Iannelli})。在这里,当数据是对数正态分布时,找到样本均值和方差的最大似然估计(MLE)的抽样分布(概率密度函数)。它们是解析导出的,使用了一些估计密度技术(TED) cite{Hingley},然后通过使用随机数模拟进行验证。对于大小为n且具有对数正态估计的i.i.d样本,样本均值具有以方差为条件的对数正态分布。对数的样本方差的分布遵循通常的中心卡方分布的变换。样本均值和方差的联合分布表明了均值受方差影响的程度。当错误地使用正态分布来估计对数正态分布的数据时,样本均值仍然是对数正态分布。但是方差的最大似然值的分布是不同的。从一个观测值的分布来看,对于更大的样本量,可以使用卷积来接近。正态估计模型的假设使平均值的置信区间产生偏差。在估计出生体重和其他对数正态分布数据集的小样本平均值时,这在多大程度上具有实际重要性。
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引用次数: 1
Analysis of model for the transmission dynamics of Zika with sterile insect technique 用昆虫不育技术分析寨卡病毒传播动力学模型
Pub Date : 2018-01-19 DOI: 10.11145/TEXTS.2018.01.083
Salisu M. Garba, Usman Ahmed Danbaba
One of the major reason for the persistence of Zika and other vector borne diseases has been lack of effective mosquito control techniques. Sterile insect technique (SIT) is a non polluting biological method of mosquito control, where sterile mosquitoes are predominantly non reproductive. We present a new deterministic model for the transmission dynamics of Zika, by incorporating both human and mosquito population, with fraction of mosquitoes being sterilized. We consider both aquatic and non-aquatic stages of mosquitoes, so as to evaluate the effect of mosquito control in the transmission of the disease. We computed the basic reproduction number ($R_{0}$), and theoretically analysed the stability properties of the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) and the endemic-equilibrium (EE). In addition, effect of human-human transmission, and other important parameters were assessed. Numerical simulations to support the results will be presented.
寨卡病毒和其他媒介传播疾病持续存在的主要原因之一是缺乏有效的蚊虫控制技术。昆虫不育技术(SIT)是一种无污染的蚊虫控制生物方法,其中不育蚊子主要是非生殖的。我们提出了一个新的寨卡病毒传播动力学的确定性模型,将人类和蚊子的种群纳入其中,其中一部分蚊子被绝育。我们考虑了蚊子的水生和非水生阶段,以评估蚊虫控制在疾病传播中的效果。计算了基本繁殖数$R_{0}$,并从理论上分析了无病平衡(DFE)和地方病平衡(EE)的稳定性。此外,还评估了人际传播效应和其他重要参数。将给出数值模拟来支持这些结果。
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引用次数: 9
Modelling of activator-inhibitor dynamics via nonlocal integral operators 基于非局部积分算子的活化剂-抑制剂动力学建模
Pub Date : 2017-12-28 DOI: 10.11145/TEXTS.2017.12.233
R. Anguelov, S. Stoltz
The theory of pattern formation through local self-activation and long range inhibition has been shown to account for much of the observed pattern forming regulatory phenomena [2]. This mechanism is captured mathematically by considering two species, activator and inhibitor, with different spatial diffusivity, so that the resulting model is a system of reaction diffusion equations. The formation of patterns occurring in such systems under  certain conditions was discovered by Alan Turing in 1952. Independently of Turing's work, Gierer and Meinhard derived in 1972 their textit{Theory of Biological Pattern Formation} showing that patterns occur only if local self-enhancing reaction is coupled with an antagonistic reaction of long range [2,4]. The theory was embedded in a model comprising a system of reaction diffusion equations satisfying the Turing conditions. This model is now known as the Gierer-Meinhard model. It is used as a mathematical model for pattern formation in many different settings. For example, the Brusselator model for trimolecular chemical reactions is a particular case of it [1]. In this talk we propose modelling of the activation-inhibition mechanism of pattern formation by using nonlocal integral operators. This approach was pioneered in [3] for modelling of vegetation patterns. It turns out that the short range of the activation and the long range of the inhibition can be adequately represented via the supports of the kernels of the respective integrals. An advantage of using the nonlocal operator model from the point of view of its theoretical and numerical analysis is that it does not require smoothness of the solution with respect to the spatial variable. The applicability of this new approach is demonstrated on several biologically relevant examples. ...
通过局部自激活和远程抑制的模式形成理论已被证明可以解释大部分观察到的模式形成调节现象[2]。通过考虑具有不同空间扩散率的两种活化剂和抑制剂,从数学上捕捉了这一机制,从而得到反应扩散方程的模型。图灵在1952年发现了这种系统在特定条件下形成的模式。独立于图灵的工作,Gierer和Meinhard在1972年推导了他们的textit{生物模式形成理论},表明模式只有在局部自我增强反应与长期拮抗反应相结合时才会发生[2,4]。该理论被嵌入到一个由满足图灵条件的反应扩散方程组组成的模型中。这个模型现在被称为Gierer-Meinhard模型。它被用作许多不同情况下图案形成的数学模型。例如,三分子化学反应的Brusselator模型就是它的一个特例[1]。在这篇演讲中,我们提出用非局部积分算子来模拟模式形成的激活-抑制机制。这种方法在[3]中率先用于植被模式建模。结果表明,激活的短期范围和抑制的长期范围可以通过各自积分核的支持来充分表示。从理论和数值分析的角度来看,使用非局部算子模型的一个优点是它不要求解相对于空间变量的平滑性。这种新方法的适用性在几个生物学相关的例子上得到了证明. ...
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引用次数: 1
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