Investor Limited Information Processing Capacity: Industry Level Analysis

Winston Sutandar, Angel Angel, Trixie Josunarto, John Iwan Kusno, A. Teja
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Abstract

Investor has cognitive limitation in the form of limited information-processing capacity relative to the amount of information available to them. This limitation force investors to optimize their valuable resources by focusing only to a specific set of information based on their unique preference. Since different industry have different information complexities, different industries will have different investor segment in terms of investor number, investor sophistication, and investor speed to gather and to comprehend information from other industry. We investigate the prevalence of investor’s limited information-processing capacity in Indonesian stock market using autoregressive model. We used monthly data from 31 December 1999 to 30 September 2015 to identify whether there are industries that consistently lead other industries. We find only mining industry return, with small market capitalization only 3.3% relative to total Jakarta Composite Index market capitalization, which consistently leads Jakarta Composite Index return for one to two months.
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投资者有限的信息处理能力:行业层面分析
投资者的认知局限表现为信息处理能力相对于可获得的信息量有限。这种限制迫使投资者根据自己独特的偏好,只关注一组特定的信息,从而优化他们的宝贵资源。由于不同行业的信息复杂性不同,不同行业的投资者群体在投资者数量、投资者成熟度、投资者收集和理解其他行业信息的速度等方面都会有所不同。本文采用自回归模型对印尼股市投资者信息处理能力有限的普遍现象进行了研究。我们使用1999年12月31日至2015年9月30日的月度数据来确定是否有行业一直领先于其他行业。我们只发现了采矿业的回报,相对于雅加达综合指数的总市值,采矿业的市值很小,只有3.3%,在一到两个月内一直领先于雅加达综合指数的回报。
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