Dividend Policy and Smoothening Behavior of the Southeast Asian Countries Including Japan

F. Khan
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Abstract

This study examines the dividend policy and smoothening behavior of major Southeast Asian countries including Japan. The study uses firm specific variables including corporate governance measures as independent variables. The results indicated financial leverage, return on equity, asset tangibility, Tobin Q, market concentration (HHI), and life cycle are the main determinants of dividend policy for the Southeast Asian region. In addition to this, the corporate governance measures (board composition, audit quality, and ownership structure) are also found as significant determinants of dividend policy of the selected economies. However, the results for cash flow and business risk are found to be contradictory due to their insignificant impacts on dividend policy in some economies. Thus, the study concludes that most determinants of dividend policy are similar within the regions. The study also used probit model in order to find probable factors that may influence the dividend policy and the results show similarity between determinants of dividend policy and probability factors that influence dividend policy. The probable factors are the same as the determinants of dividend policy. In addition to this, the study also tested the application of Lintner model, and the results clearly depicted that last year dividend as well as the current year earnings are the main factors that impact dividend policy of the firms within the region. More so, focusing on the speed of adjustment and target payout ratio of the firms, the study unties that firms have moderate speed of adjustment, and management is reluctant to cut dividends. Lastly, the target payout ratios of the firms also suggest that firms do have moderate target payout ratio except for Singapore with target payout ratio almost equal to 1. Conclusively, the study reveals that the determinants of dividend policy for the Southeast Asian countries are quite similar, firms do follow smooth dividend policy, and management is reluctant to cut dividends in the long run.
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包括日本在内的东南亚国家的股利政策与平滑行为
本研究考察了包括日本在内的东南亚主要国家的股利政策及其平滑行为。本研究使用公司治理措施等企业特定变量作为自变量。结果表明,财务杠杆、净资产收益率、资产有形性、托宾Q、市场集中度(HHI)和生命周期是东南亚地区股利政策的主要决定因素。除此之外,公司治理措施(董事会组成、审计质量和所有权结构)也被发现是选定经济体股息政策的重要决定因素。然而,在一些经济体中,由于现金流和经营风险对股利政策的影响不显著,结果发现是矛盾的。因此,研究得出结论,股利政策的大多数决定因素在地区内是相似的。为了寻找可能影响股利政策的概率因素,本研究还使用了概率模型,结果显示股利政策的决定因素与影响股利政策的概率因素之间存在相似性。可能的因素与股利政策的决定因素相同。除此之外,本研究还对Lintner模型的应用进行了测试,结果清楚地描述了去年的股息以及当年的收益是影响该地区企业股息政策的主要因素。更重要的是,着眼于调整速度和公司的目标派息率,研究表明公司具有中等的调整速度,管理层不愿意削减股息。最后,公司的目标派息率也表明,除了新加坡的目标派息率几乎等于1之外,公司的目标派息率确实适中。最后,研究表明,东南亚国家的股息政策的决定因素非常相似,公司确实遵循平稳的股息政策,管理层不愿意从长远来看削减股息。
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