Volatility Transmission Between ASEAN-5 Stock Exchanges

R. Dias, N. Teixeira, P. Pardal, Teresa Godinho
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Abstract

This article aims to analyse risk transmission among the financial markets of China and ASEAN-5 in the context of the 2015 Chinese stock market crash. For this purpose, the authors test if (1) the volatility resulting from the 2015 stock market crash has positively influenced risk transmission among ASEAN-5 and China markets and (2) increased risk perception has led to a negative reaction from investors, both in ASEAN-5 as in China markets. The results imply an enhancement of the asymmetric effect, suggesting that during the crash, market volatility responded more significantly to bad news than to good news. In the post-crash, volatility dropped expressively. During the crisis, risk transmission was significant to the point of jeopardising portfolio diversification in the ASEAN-5 markets. In the post-crash, markets tended to balance, mitigating the risk very significantly. The authors believe that there are opportunities for international investors to readjust their portfolios in these regional markets.
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东盟五国证券交易所之间的波动传导
本文旨在分析2015年中国股灾背景下中国与东盟五国金融市场之间的风险传导。为此,作者检验了(1)2015年股市崩盘导致的波动是否对东盟五国和中国市场之间的风险传导产生了积极影响,以及(2)风险认知的增强是否导致了东盟五国和中国市场投资者的负面反应。结果表明,不对称效应有所增强,表明在崩盘期间,市场波动对坏消息的反应比对好消息的反应更为显著。在崩盘后,波动性显著下降。在危机期间,风险传导非常严重,以至于危及东盟五国市场的投资组合多样化。在危机后,市场趋于平衡,极大地降低了风险。作者认为,国际投资者有机会重新调整他们在这些地区市场的投资组合。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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