Changes in the Law vs. Changes in the Penalties: An Application to Blood Alcohol Content Limits

C. Depken
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Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of lowered BAC limits on alcohol related traffic fatalities. Unlike previous studies that find significant reductions in traffic fatalities after legal limits are reduced, this paper shows that once controlling explicitly for enforcement efforts and the severity of penalties the impact of lowered BAC limits is insignificant. This study is important because national legislation was passed in 2000 requiring all states to have a legal limit of 0.08 BAC by 2004. At the time, proponents of the legislation claimed an estimated 600 lives would be saved nation-wide because of the new legal limits. This study shows that this estimate was most likely overstated.
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法律的变化与处罚的变化:对血液酒精含量限制的应用
本文调查降低酒精浓度限制对酒精相关交通死亡的影响。与之前的研究发现,在法律限制降低后,交通死亡人数显著减少,本文表明,一旦明确控制执法力度和处罚的严重性,降低BAC限制的影响是微不足道的。这项研究很重要,因为国家立法于2000年通过,要求所有州在2004年之前设定0.08 BAC的法定上限。当时,立法的支持者声称,由于新的法律限制,全国范围内估计有600人的生命将得到拯救。这项研究表明,这一估计很可能被夸大了。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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