System dynamics of renewable energy technology adoption

M. Mutingi, S. Matope
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引用次数: 7

Abstract

The adoption of renewable energy technologies (RET) has been facing a number of barriers and constraints due to dynamic interaction of adoption related factors. This paper simulates from a systems dynamics point of view the dynamic behavior of the RET adoption process. Complex dynamic interactions between technology adopters, policy makers and policies are captured based on systems thinking. Based on a set of input policy parameters and variables, the behavior of RET adoption is investigated. Sensitivity experiments and further “what-if” experiments are conducted in this study. Useful managerial insights are drawn from the simulation results, relevant for policy makers concerned with renewable energy technologies.
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可再生能源技术采用的系统动力学
由于采用可再生能源技术相关因素的动态相互作用,可再生能源技术的采用一直面临着许多障碍和制约。本文从系统动力学的角度模拟了RET采用过程的动态行为。技术采用者、政策制定者和政策之间复杂的动态相互作用是基于系统思维来捕捉的。基于一组输入策略参数和变量,研究了RET采用的行为。本研究进行了敏感性实验和进一步的“假设”实验。从模拟结果中得出有用的管理见解,与关注可再生能源技术的决策者有关。
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