Do Managers Learn from Institutional Investors Through Direct Interactions?

R. Zhang
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引用次数: 10

Abstract

Prior evidence suggests that managers learn indirectly from stock prices, which contain private information impounded by informed investors’ trades. However, stock price is an indirect aggregate signal, which is likely to be insufficient for managerial learning. I propose that managers seek out direct interactions with institutional investors as a further mechanism to learn relevant information about their firms. Using investor conferences and investor days as the medium for direct learning, I find that managers seek more direct interactions when they have a high demand for information concerning industry trends and supply chain dynamics, and when they expect their current base of institutional investors to be knowledgeable. I also predict that information learned through direct interactions will be reflected in the manager’s subsequent corporate and personal decisions. I find that the frequency and accuracy of management forecasts increase after direct learning. Comparing insider trades in the same firm-month, trades executed by participating insiders within seven days after a conference earn greater positive abnormal returns, consistent with managers’ information set expanding as a result of their direct learning.
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管理者是否通过直接互动向机构投资者学习?
先前的证据表明,管理者间接地从股价中学习,其中包含了被知情投资者的交易所扣押的私人信息。然而,股票价格是一个间接的综合信号,对于管理学习可能是不够的。我建议管理者寻求与机构投资者的直接互动,作为进一步了解其公司相关信息的机制。利用投资者会议和投资者日作为直接学习的媒介,我发现,当管理者对行业趋势和供应链动态的信息有很高的需求时,当他们希望目前的机构投资者基础知识渊博时,他们会寻求更直接的互动。我还预测,通过直接互动获得的信息将反映在经理随后的公司和个人决策中。我发现直接学习后,管理预测的频率和准确性都提高了。与同一公司月的内幕交易相比,会议后7天内参与的内幕交易获得了更高的正异常回报,这与管理者直接学习导致的信息集扩大一致。
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