Why Did Inflation Targeting Fail in Argentina?

N. Cachanosky, Federico Julián Ferrelli Mazza
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引用次数: 10

Abstract

Argentina’s experience with inflation targeting lasted only 26 months. In this paper, we study the reason why this regime failed in Argentina and the economic context of its implementation. We find that the main reason was an internal inconsistency in how inflation targeting was implemented, and that said inconsistency was accelerated by a negative credibility shock in December 2017. While other events, such as external shocks, also played a role, they are not enough to explain the shortcomings of the inflation targeting experience in Argentina.
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为什么阿根廷的通胀目标制失败了?
阿根廷的通胀目标制只持续了26个月。在本文中,我们研究了这一制度在阿根廷失败的原因及其实施的经济背景。我们发现,主要原因是通胀目标实施方式的内部不一致,而2017年12月的负面可信度冲击加剧了这种不一致。尽管外部冲击等其他事件也发挥了作用,但它们不足以解释阿根廷通胀目标制经验的缺陷。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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