A Cost Benefit Analysis of Shale Gas Well Bonding Systems in Pennsylvania

Max Harleman
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Abstract

Pennsylvania imposes bonding requirements to incentivize operators to take proper precautions when they choose to abandon an oil or gas well. Bonding requires operators to set aside funds before drilling a well, which are forfeited to the state if the well is improperly abandoned. The relatively high reclamation costs and potential environmental risks from shale gas wells have led stakeholders to consider whether current bond amounts are large enough to cover cleanup. Other stakeholders argue that operators would respond to increased bond amounts by drilling fewer wells. Less drilling could reduce economic benefits received by Pennsylvanians, such as those associated with employment and mineral royalty payments. This cost benefit analysis aims to identify whether there is an alternative bonding system that would produce net social benefits in Pennsylvania versus the current system. I find that current bond amounts are likely too low, and that increasing them to match actual reclamation costs would prevent society from bearing significant costs, without giving up many economic benefits. State officials should set bonds equal to the best estimates of reclamation costs, and revise them when evidence on the true cost of reclamation becomes available.
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宾夕法尼亚州页岩气井胶结系统的成本效益分析
宾夕法尼亚州规定了粘合要求,以激励作业者在选择放弃一口油气井时采取适当的预防措施。担保要求作业者在钻井前预留资金,如果油井被不当废弃,这些资金将被没收。页岩气井相对较高的回收成本和潜在的环境风险促使利益相关者考虑目前的债券金额是否足以支付清理费用。其他利益相关者认为,为了应对债券数额的增加,作业者可能会减少钻井数量。减少钻探可能会减少宾夕法尼亚人获得的经济利益,比如与就业和矿产特许权使用费相关的利益。这个成本效益分析的目的是确定是否有一种替代的债券系统,可以在宾夕法尼亚州产生净社会效益,而不是目前的系统。我发现,目前的保证书数额可能太低,如果将保证书数额提高到与实际填海成本相匹配的水平,将使社会无法承担重大成本,同时又不会放弃许多经济利益。州政府官员应设定与填海成本的最佳估计相等的保证金,并在获得有关填海真实成本的证据时修改保证金。
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