The Future of Cash

Solomon Tarlin
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Abstract

In many advanced economies around the world, the share of transactions conducted using cash payments has been falling over the past several years. This change has likely been because of a combination of shifting consumer tastes, improvements in payment technology (specifically credit and debit cards), and the rapid growth of online transactions. As the decline in the cash share has led to some businesses choosing not to accept cash payments, many policymakers have discussed interventions to ensure access to the modern economy for consumers who prefer to pay in cash. Despite the reduced use of cash as a means of payment, currency in circulation has continued to increase in many countries, including the United States. This increase suggests that cash is still providing utility as a store of value. This paper surveys literature and data on the use of cash as a means of payment and discusses how and why the cash share is falling in the United States and around the world. Furthermore, it also discusses the opportunities and challenges of a transition away from cash for consumers, businesses, and society.
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现金的未来
在全球许多发达经济体,过去几年使用现金支付的交易份额一直在下降。这种变化可能是由于消费者口味的转变、支付技术的改进(特别是信用卡和借记卡)以及在线交易的快速增长。由于现金份额的下降导致一些企业选择不接受现金支付,许多政策制定者已经讨论了干预措施,以确保更喜欢现金支付的消费者能够进入现代经济。尽管现金作为支付手段的使用减少了,但在包括美国在内的许多国家,流通中的货币仍在继续增加。这一增长表明,现金作为一种价值储存手段仍在发挥效用。本文调查了使用现金作为支付手段的文献和数据,并讨论了现金份额如何以及为什么在美国和世界各地下降。此外,它还讨论了消费者、企业和社会从现金过渡的机遇和挑战。
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