Multidecadal ensemble hindcast of wave fields in the Baltic Sea

I. Nikolkina, T. Soomere, A. Raamet
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引用次数: 17

Abstract

Several versions of the wave climate of the Baltic Sea are reconstructed by means of the spectral wave model WAM with a resolution about 3 nautical miles. This model (optionally covering different frequency range) is forced with two versions of wind fields and with and without the information about sea ice. We discuss the wave fields calculated for 1957-2008 (52 years) using high-resolution COSMO wind hindcast and for 1970-2007 (38 years) using slightly adjusted geostrophic wind fields from the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute database. The runs are performed in parallel with and without ice information. We provide a comparison of spatial distributions of the main climatological parameters (average wave heights, higher percentiles of wave heights etc., formal trends of these quantities) for these runs. All simulations replicate the well-known features of the Baltic Sea wave climate as the moderate average wave heights, extensive intermittency of wave properties and substantial spatial anisotropy of typical and extreme wave heights, with relatively severe wave climate in the eastern parts of the Baltic Proper and its sub-basins. The simulations also indicate widespread differences in the long-term behavior of average wave heights and higher percentiles of the wave heights in different sea areas.
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波罗的海波浪场的多年代际整体后验
利用光谱波模式WAM重建了波罗的海波浪气候的几个版本,分辨率约为3海里。这个模型(可选地覆盖不同的频率范围)是用两种版本的风场以及有无海冰的信息来强迫的。我们讨论了1957-2008年(52年)使用高分辨率COSMO风后播计算的波场,以及1970-2007年(38年)使用瑞典气象和水文研究所数据库中略微调整的地转风场计算的波场。运行是并行执行的,有和没有冰信息。我们提供了这些运行的主要气候参数(平均波高,波高较高百分位数等,这些量的形式趋势)的空间分布的比较。所有模拟都复制了波罗的海波气候的众所周知的特征,即平均波高适中,波性质的广泛间歇性和典型波高和极端波高的显著空间各向异性,波罗的海固有区东部及其子盆地的波气候相对严重。模拟还表明,在不同海域,平均浪高和较高的浪高百分位数的长期行为存在广泛差异。
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