The Causal Effect of Place: Evidence from Japanese-American Internment

D. Shoag, N. Carollo
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引用次数: 10

Abstract

Recent research has stressed the importance of long-run place effects on income and economic mobility, but the literature has struggled to isolate the causal impact of location. This paper provides new evidence on these effects using administrative data on over 100,000 Japanese- Americans who were interned during World War II. Internees were conditionally randomly assigned to camps in seven different states and held for several years. Restitution payments paid in the early 1990s to the universe of surviving internees allow us to measure their locations and outcomes nearly half a century after the camp assignments. Using this unique natural experiment we find, first, that camp assignment had a lasting effect on individuals' long-term locations. Next, using this variation, we find large place effects on individual economic outcomes like income, education, socioeconomic status, house prices, and housing quality. People assigned to richer locations do better on all measures. Random location assignment affected intergenerational economic outcomes as well, with families assigned to more socially mobile areas (as designated by Chetty et al., 2014) displaying lower cross-generational correlation in outcomes. Finally, we provide evidence that assignment to richer places impacted people's values and political views, a new and intriguing mechanism through which place effects operate. Together, this new causal evidence on location effects has broad implications for urban economics, as well as potential policy implications for policymakers struggling to resettle and integrate large refugee or immigrant populations.
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地点的因果效应:来自日裔美国人拘留的证据
最近的研究强调了长期地点效应对收入和经济流动性的重要性,但文献一直在努力分离出地点的因果影响。本文利用二战期间被拘留的10万多名日裔美国人的行政数据,为这些影响提供了新的证据。被拘留者被有条件地随机分配到七个不同州的营地,关押数年。20世纪90年代初,向幸存的被拘留者支付的赔偿金使我们能够在营地分配近半个世纪后衡量他们的位置和结果。通过这个独特的自然实验,我们发现,首先,营地分配对个人的长期位置有持久的影响。接下来,利用这种变化,我们发现了对个人经济结果的巨大影响,如收入、教育、社会经济地位、房价和住房质量。分配到富裕地区的人在所有指标上都做得更好。随机地点分配也会影响代际经济结果,家庭被分配到社会流动性更强的地区(由Chetty等人指定,2014年),结果显示出较低的代际相关性。最后,我们提供的证据表明,分配到更富裕的地方会影响人们的价值观和政治观点,这是一种新的、有趣的机制,通过这种机制,地方效应发挥作用。总之,这一关于区位效应的新因果证据对城市经济学有着广泛的影响,对努力重新安置和整合大量难民或移民人口的政策制定者也有潜在的政策影响。
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