The covid-19 pandemic caused vulnerability and survival strategies of star hotels in Nepal

Krishna Prasad Gwachha
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Abstract

Background: The concept of banking sector development is multi-dimensional, and it is difficult to establish a single description for it because it is an interconnected process that encompasses increases in the number and quality of financial services. Objectives: The objective of the study is to examine the impact of macroeconomic determinants on banking sector development in Nepal. Methods: The study applied the vector error correction model (VECM) approach technique with economic time series data ranging from 1995 to 2020. The study employed the VECM model to avoid the spurious regression problem in the construction of contemporary time series econometrics. The co-integration analysis is used in the study to determine the long-run equilibrium relationship between the macroeconomic variable and the banking sector development of the model. Banking sector development is measured by the arithmetic average of the normalized values of banking depth, banking efficiency, and banking stability. Result: This study reveals that per capita GDP and remittances have a positive and significant impact on the banking sector development. Similarly, government expenditure and stock market capitalization have positive and statistically significant roles to explain banking sector development in Nepal. In addition, it demonstrates that trade openness and inflation have a marginally negative but insignificant impact on banking sector development. Conclusion: There is a long-term equilibrium relationship between macroeconomic variables and banking sector development. Macroeconomic policies and institutional quality play an important role in the banking sector development. Implications: For policymakers since it clarifies the significance of sound macroeconomic policies in the development of the banking industry while taking into account the quality of the existing institutional infrastructure.
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新冠肺炎大流行导致尼泊尔星级酒店的脆弱性和生存策略
背景:银行业发展的概念是多维的,很难建立一个单一的描述,因为它是一个相互关联的过程,包含了金融服务数量和质量的增加。目的:本研究的目的是研究宏观经济决定因素对尼泊尔银行业发展的影响。方法:采用向量误差修正模型(VECM)方法对1995 ~ 2020年经济时间序列数据进行分析。为了避免当代时间序列计量经济学构建中的伪回归问题,本研究采用了VECM模型。本文采用协整分析来确定宏观经济变量与模型中银行业发展之间的长期均衡关系。银行业的发展是通过银行业深度、银行业效率和银行业稳定性的归一化值的算术平均值来衡量的。结果:研究发现,人均GDP和汇款对银行业发展具有显著的正向影响。同样,政府支出和股票市场资本化在解释尼泊尔银行业发展方面具有积极和统计显著的作用。此外,它还表明,贸易开放和通货膨胀对银行业的发展有轻微的负面影响,但不显著。结论:宏观经济变量与银行业发展之间存在长期均衡关系。宏观经济政策和制度质量在银行业发展中发挥着重要作用。启示:对于政策制定者,因为它阐明了健全的宏观经济政策在银行业发展中的重要性,同时考虑到现有制度基础设施的质量。
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