The Scientific Hypothesis Today

B. Alger
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Abstract

Chapter 2 begins by reviewing the concept of the Scientific Method, as well as many outdated definitions of “hypothesis.” The discussion leads to the modern definition of the hypothesis as a conjectural explanation for a phenomenon; it is testable and falsifiable. The hypothesis serves as a blueprint and a summary of an investigation. Certain criticisms of the hypothesis and hypothesis-driven research are based on the older definitions of the term, and the book returns to them later. This chapter identifies and defines, with simple, nontechnical examples, concepts associated with the hypothesis, such as prediction and direct and indirect measurements. The philosophical programs of Karl Popper and John Platt, Critical Rationalism and Strong Inference, respectively, form a major focus of the chapter. The chapter explores the complexities of the concepts of falsification and corroboration and the importance of having multiple hypotheses. The chapter introduces the idea of the implicit hypothesis and ends with the presentation and discussion of key features of a good hypothesis.
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今天的科学假设
第2章首先回顾了科学方法的概念,以及许多过时的“假设”定义。这一讨论导致了对假设的现代定义,即对一种现象的推测性解释;它是可检验和可证伪的。假设可以作为调查的蓝图和总结。对假设和假设驱动研究的某些批评是基于该术语的旧定义,本书稍后又回到了它们。本章通过简单的非技术示例,识别和定义与假设相关的概念,如预测和直接和间接测量。卡尔·波普尔和约翰·普拉特的哲学纲领,批判理性主义和强推理,分别构成了本章的主要焦点。本章探讨了证伪和确证的概念的复杂性以及具有多个假设的重要性。本章介绍了内隐假设的概念,并以一个好的假设的主要特征的介绍和讨论结束。
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