Supply Network Risk Analysis from Social and Bayesian Network Perspectives

EuiBeom Jeong, DaeSoo Kim
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Abstract

As firms are exposed to various risks, supply network risk management has become important. Previous studies have conducted supply network risk research from various perspectives, particularly due to the severity of supply disruption to buying firms. While the existing studies have identified those suppliers based on centrality measures of their positions in the supply network mostly from the social network perspective, there was also a limitation in quantitatively assessing the suppliers’ disruption risk in the network. Therefore, this study intended to theoretically expand and develop the study on the supply network risk from the existing social network perspective by applying the Bayesian network analysis. So we used the Bayesian network analysis to quantitatively assess the suppliers’ disruption risk in the supply network and measure their risk impact on the focal firm. Through it, we identified the network properties of the critical suppliers that the focal firm should pay attention to for its effective supply network risk management and suggested related insights.
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社会与贝叶斯网络视角下的供应网络风险分析
由于企业面临各种风险,供应网络风险管理变得非常重要。以前的研究从不同的角度进行了供应网络风险研究,特别是考虑到供应中断对购买公司的严重程度。虽然现有的研究大多是从社会网络的角度,根据供应商在供应网络中的位置的中心性度量来确定供应商,但在定量评估供应商在网络中的中断风险方面也存在局限性。因此,本研究拟运用贝叶斯网络分析,从已有的社会网络视角对供应网络风险的研究进行理论上的拓展和发展。因此,我们利用贝叶斯网络分析定量评估了供应商在供应网络中的中断风险,并衡量了其对焦点企业的风险影响。通过它,我们确定了焦点企业在有效管理供应网络风险时应注意的关键供应商的网络属性,并提出了相关的见解。
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