PENENTUAN TARIF PREMI PADA ASURANSI KENDARAAN DENGAN BESAR KLAIM BERDISTRIBUSI EKSPONENSIAL DAN GAMMA

Agung Prabowo
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Abstract

Calculation of vehicle insurance premium rates can be done using the aggregate claims model. The aggregate claims model consists of a combination of two independent random variables, namely the number of claims that occur and the amount of claims for each event. The research method is in the form of literature studies and case studies using secondary data in the form of data on the number of claims and the amount of claims collected from January 2013 to December 2019. Based on the data collected, there were 802 claims with the smallest claim being IDR 50,000 and the largest being IDR 211,715,000. Testing the hypothesis shows that the data on the number of claims has a Poisson distribution, and the amount of claims follows two types of distribution, namely the exponential and gamma distribution so that the aggregate claim distribution is a combination of Poisson-Exponential and Poisson-Gamma. Parameter estimation for each distribution is carried out by the moment method with available secondary data. This study concludes that the use of the pure premium principle provides the same premium rate for both distributions of aggregate claims, amounting to IDR 82,856.39 per month per person. While the use of the expected value principle provides a premium rate for the Poisson-Gamma aggregate claims distribution 8.76 times greater than the Poisson- Exponential aggregate claims distribution, namely IDR 1,920,019.55 per month and IDR 219,155.20 per month, respectively.
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确定车辆保险的保险费关税,并提出指数分布索赔
车辆保险费率的计算可以采用总索赔模型。总索赔模型由两个独立随机变量的组合组成,即发生的索赔数量和每个事件的索赔金额。研究方法采用文献研究和案例研究的形式,使用二手数据,以2013年1月至2019年12月收集的索赔数量和索赔金额数据的形式。根据收集到的数据,共有802项索赔,最小的索赔额为50,000印尼盾,最大的索赔额为211,715,000印尼盾。对假设的检验表明,索赔数量数据服从泊松分布,索赔数量服从指数分布和伽玛分布两种分布,因此索赔总量分布是泊松指数和泊松伽玛的组合。利用现有的二次数据,利用矩量法对各分布进行参数估计。这项研究的结论是,使用纯保费原则为两种总索赔分配提供了相同的保费率,每人每月82,856.39印尼盾。而期望值原则的使用为泊松-伽马累计索赔分布提供了比泊松-指数累计索赔分布高8.76倍的保险费率,分别为每月1,920019.55印尼盾和每月219,155.20印尼盾。
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PENENTUAN TARIF PREMI PADA ASURANSI KENDARAAN DENGAN BESAR KLAIM BERDISTRIBUSI EKSPONENSIAL DAN GAMMA PENENTUAN CADANGAN KLAIM IBNR MENGGUNAKAN METODE CHAIN LADDER DAN INFLATION ADJUSTED CHAIN LADDER PADA ASURANSI MARINE SURVEI BERBAGAI JENIS KETERAMPILAN YANG DIBUTUHKAN DESA BINAAN DALAM MEMPERSIAPKAN KEGIATAN PKM HIBAH DIKTI EFEKTIFITAS DUPONT ANALYSIS UNTUK MENILAI PROFITABILITAS PERUSAHAAN ASURANSI JIWA NASIONAL Suatu Analisis Regresi pada Dampak Promosi terhadap Keputusan Pembelian Konsumen Tokopedia pada Era Revolusi Industri 4.0.
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