Progressive Taxation and Robust Monetary Policy

Kazuki Hiraga, Kohei Hasui
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Abstract

Abstract Recent monetary policy analyses show the profound implications of progressive taxation for monetary policy. This paper investigates how progressive taxation on labor income changes the effect of model uncertainty by introducing robust control. We obtained the following results: (i) Higher progressive taxation decreases the effect of model uncertainty on the inflation rate, output gap, and interest rate. (ii) A sufficiently higher progressive taxation brings the economy into the determinate equilibrium even if the model uncertainty is strong. According to these results, we conclude that progressive taxation on labor income is effective in mitigating the effects of model uncertainty in terms of variance and equilibrium determinacy.
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累进税制和稳健的货币政策
最近的货币政策分析显示了累进税对货币政策的深远影响。本文通过引入鲁棒控制,研究劳动收入累进税如何改变模型不确定性的影响。研究结果表明:(1)提高累进税降低了模型不确定性对通货膨胀率、产出缺口和利率的影响。(ii)即使模型的不确定性很强,足够高的累进税也会使经济进入确定均衡。根据这些结果,我们得出结论,劳动收入累进税在方差和均衡确定性方面可以有效减轻模型不确定性的影响。
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