Credit Resource Misallocation and Macroeconomic Fluctuations in China: From the Perspective of Heterogeneous Financial Frictions

Jian Zhou, Zhipeng Zhang, Yu Shao
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Abstract

Abstract In China, state-owned firms exhibit easier access to external credit but have lower productivity than private firms. We construct a dynamic general equilibrium model incorporating heterogeneous financial frictions to investigate their impact on credit resource misallocation and macroeconomic fluctuations in the Chinese economy. A calibration of our model suggests that heterogeneity in financial frictions can reduce macroeconomic volatility. The mechanism is that heterogeneity in financial frictions induces the procyclicality of credit resource misallocation within entrepreneurs, thus the procyclicality of productivity loss. The stabilization effect depends on the relative magnitude of the impact of the shock on credit resource misallocation within entrepreneurs compared to its impact on the output. In addition, we show that the cost of the stabilization effect of heterogeneity in financial frictions is that it reduces the economy’s aggregate TFP and output at the steady state. Our results imply that neglecting heterogeneity may overestimate the impact of financial frictions on economic volatility in previous studies.
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中国信贷资源错配与宏观经济波动:从异质金融摩擦的角度看中国的信贷资源错配与宏观经济波动
摘要 在中国,国有企业更容易获得外部信贷,但生产率却低于民营企业。我们构建了一个包含异质性金融摩擦的动态一般均衡模型,以研究其对中国经济中信贷资源错配和宏观经济波动的影响。对模型的校准表明,金融摩擦的异质性可以降低宏观经济波动。其机理在于,金融摩擦的异质性会诱发企业家内部信贷资源错配的顺周期性,从而诱发生产率损失的顺周期性。稳定效应取决于冲击对企业家内部信贷资源错配的影响相对于冲击对产出的影响的大小。此外,我们还表明,金融摩擦的异质性所带来的稳定效应的代价是,它降低了经济在稳态时的全要素生产率和产出总量。我们的结果表明,在以往的研究中,忽视异质性可能会高估金融摩擦对经济波动的影响。
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