Industry Impacts of US Unconventional Monetary Policy

Eiji Goto
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Abstract

Abstract Conventional monetary policy has been shown to create differential impacts on industry output. This paper looks at unconventional monetary policy to see its differential impacts on industries in the United States. Identification is achieved with zero and sign restrictions within a structural global vector autoregressive framework. The effects of unconventional monetary policy on output have substantial heterogeneity across industries. Furthermore, the effects on output and monetary policy transmission mechanisms are qualitatively similar to that of conventional monetary policy previously reported in the literature. These findings suggest a substitutability between conventional and unconventional monetary policies. Importantly, policymakers can use unconventional monetary policy and be reassured that impacts on specific industries are similar to those using conventional monetary policy.
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美国非常规货币政策对产业的影响
摘要 常规货币政策已被证明会对产业产出产生不同的影响。本文探讨非常规货币政策对美国各行业的不同影响。在结构性全球向量自回归框架内,通过零和符号限制实现了识别。非常规货币政策对各行业产出的影响具有很大的异质性。此外,非常规货币政策对产出和货币政策传导机制的影响与之前文献中报道的常规货币政策的影响在性质上相似。这些研究结果表明,常规货币政策与非常规货币政策之间具有可替代性。重要的是,政策制定者可以使用非常规货币政策,并确信其对特定行业的影响与使用常规货币政策的影响相似。
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