Effects of President Trump Remarks on Japanese Automakers

K. Yamaguchi, Y. Shirota
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Abstract

We investigated effects of President Trump remarks in May 2018 on Japanese automakers. We can extract the hidden relationship among companies just from seeing the movement of stock prices. When a large event happens, stocks are likely to move in a similar way if they have a tight relation. The analysis method we used is Random Matrix Theory and the data is the stock prices of 38 Japanese automakers. We found that Isuzu has a similar movement to Toyota compared with Suzuki and Matsuda, although Isuzu, Suzuki, and Matsuda belong to the Toyota group. In addition, we found that Suzuki and Yamaha are likely to move reversely, compared to other automakers, because Suzuki and Yamaha would not be given so large damages from the tariff rise. Then we found indices of minor damage of Suzuki.
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特朗普总统的言论对日本汽车制造商的影响
我们调查了2018年5月特朗普总统的言论对日本汽车制造商的影响。我们可以从股价的变化中提取出公司之间隐藏的关系。当一个重大事件发生时,如果它们之间有紧密的关系,它们可能会以类似的方式移动。我们使用的分析方法是随机矩阵理论,数据是38家日本汽车制造商的股票价格。我们发现,虽然五十铃、铃木和松田同属丰田集团,但与铃木和松田相比,五十铃的运动与丰田相似。此外,我们发现,与其他汽车制造商相比,铃木和雅马哈可能会采取相反的行动,因为铃木和雅马哈不会因为关税上升而受到如此大的损害。然后我们找到了铃木的轻微损伤指标。
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