The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on the Efficiency and Performance of Latin American Stock Markets

Zhenzhen Zhu, Z. Bai, J. Vieito, W. Wong
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引用次数: 8

Abstract

espanolEste trabajo analiza el impacto de la crisis financiera global del 2008 en siete mercados accionarios latinoamericanos. Usando diversas tecnicas, se demuestra que los mercados son menos volatiles, mas eficientes, que no hay oportunidades de arbitraje y que los inversionistas prefieren invertir en el periodo posterior a la crisis. Nuestros hallazgos proveen informacion importante para inversionistas y reguladores. EnglishWe analyze the impact of the most recent global financial crisis (GFC) on the seven most important Latin American stock markets. Our mean-variance analysis shows that the markets are significantly less volatile and, in general, investors prefer to invest in the post-GFC period. Our results from the Hurst exponent and runs and variance-ratio tests show that the randomness and efficiency have been improved after the GFC. The stochastic dominance test shows that the markets are efficient, there is no arbitrage opportunity due to the GFC in our studying period, and, in general, investors prefer investing in the post-GFC period. The results confirm that the 2008 global financial crisis does have some positive impacts on Latin American stock markets. Our findings provide important information for investors and market regulators in their decision making in investment and setting regulations.
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全球金融危机对拉美股票市场效率和表现的影响
《2008年全球金融危机对拉美经济的影响分析》。不同的技术,不同的市场,不同的波动,不同的效率,不同的机会,不同的套利,不同的反转,不同的反转,不同的周期,不同的危机。Nuestros hallazgos向监管者证明了信息对反转的重要性。我们分析了最近的全球金融危机(GFC)对七个最重要的拉丁美洲股票市场的影响。我们的均值方差分析表明,市场的波动性明显降低,总体而言,投资者倾向于在后全球金融危机时期投资。赫斯特指数、运行和方差比检验的结果表明,金融危机后的随机性和效率都得到了改善。随机优势检验表明,在我们的研究期间,市场是有效的,不存在因全球金融危机而产生的套利机会,总体而言,投资者倾向于在全球金融危机后的时期进行投资。研究结果证实,2008年全球金融危机确实对拉美股市有一定的积极影响。研究结果为投资者和市场监管机构的投资决策和监管制定提供了重要信息。
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