The Destruction of a Safe Haven Asset?

D. Baur, K. Glover
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引用次数: 54

Abstract

Gold has been a store of value for centuries and a safe haven for investors in the past decades. However, the increased investment in gold for speculative or hedging purposes has changed the safe haven property. We demonstrate theoretically and empirically that investor behaviour has the potential to destroy the safe haven property of gold. The results suggest that an asset cannot be both an investment asset and an effective safe haven asset. This finding has important implications for financial stability since assets are more likely to exhibit excess comovement and volatility in the absence of a safe haven.
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避险资产的毁灭?
几个世纪以来,黄金一直是一种保值手段,在过去几十年里,黄金一直是投资者的避风港。然而,出于投机或对冲目的而增加的黄金投资改变了黄金的避险属性。我们从理论上和经验上证明,投资者的行为有可能破坏黄金的避险属性。结果表明,一种资产不可能既是投资资产,又是有效的避险资产。这一发现对金融稳定具有重要意义,因为在没有避风港的情况下,资产更有可能表现出过度的波动和波动。
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