Taking a Shine to Copper: The Physical-Based S&P GSCI Cash Copper Index

Daniel Ung
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Abstract

By virtue of its intrinsic properties, copper is used extensively in many manufacturing industries, from the production of power cables to consumer electronics. Statistics from the World Bureau of Metal Statistics (2012) reveal that global refined copper consumption reached over 19.5 million metric tonnes in 2011, with China accounting for 40% of the total. Between 2000 and 2011, Chinese demand grew by 13.5% each year, five times faster than the world average. Much of this growth was derived from the power generation sector, which now makes up 46% of total end-use demand in China, followed by household appliances and transportation. Over the last decade, this industrial metal’s cash price has risen from USD 1,800 per metric tonne to the current USD 8,000, attracting the attention of both institutional and retail investors. Until recently, the main vehicles for investing in the copper market have been equities and futures contracts. However, investors can now gain direct exposure to copper by choosing products that are linked to the newly-launched SP An introduction to the SP The practical applications of the index; How copper returns are related to economic activity; The inflation properties of the index; Whether an allocation to the S&P GSCI Cash Copper index has historically offered any diversification benefits.
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看好铜:基于实物的标普GSCI现货铜指数
由于其固有的特性,铜被广泛应用于许多制造业,从电力电缆的生产到消费电子产品。世界金属统计局(World Bureau of Metal Statistics, 2012)的数据显示,2011年全球精炼铜消费量超过1950万吨,其中中国占40%。2000年至2011年间,中国的需求以每年13.5%的速度增长,是世界平均水平的5倍。这一增长大部分来自发电行业,目前占中国最终用途总需求的46%,其次是家用电器和交通运输。在过去的十年中,这种工业金属的现金价格从每公吨1800美元上涨到目前的8000美元,吸引了机构和散户投资者的注意。直到最近,投资铜市场的主要工具一直是股票和期货合约。不过,投资者现在可以通过选择与新推出的标普指数挂钩的产品,直接投资于铜。铜的回报与经济活动的关系;指数的通货膨胀性质;对标普GSCI现金铜指数的配置是否在历史上提供了任何分散收益。
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