Safe Haven Currencies

A. Ranaldo, P. Söderlind
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引用次数: 416

Abstract

We study high-frequency exchange rate movements over the sample 1993-2007. We document that the (Swiss) franc, euro, Japanese yen and the pound tend to appreciate against the U.S. dollar when (a) SP (b) U.S. bond prices increase; and (c) when currency markets become more volatile. In these situations, the franc appreciates also against the other currencies, while the pound depreciates. The safe haven properties correspond to the carry trader's losses. They materialize over different time granularities (from a few hours to several days), during both "ordinary days" and crisis episodes and show some non-linear features.
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避险货币
我们研究了1993-2007年样本的高频汇率变动。我们证明,当(a) SP (b)美国债券价格上涨时,(瑞士)法郎、欧元、日元和英镑倾向于对美元升值;(c)当外汇市场变得更加不稳定时。在这种情况下,法郎对其他货币也会升值,而英镑则会贬值。避险资产对应的是套息交易者的损失。它们在不同的时间粒度(从几小时到几天),在“平常的日子”和危机事件中实现,并表现出一些非线性特征。
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