Ejemplos de burbujas: Telepizza y otras 6 empresas (Telepizza and Boston Chicken: Examples of Value Destruction)

Pablo Fernández
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Abstract

Spanish Abstract: Se presentan 7 ejemplos reales de empresas que tuvieron un aumento vertiginoso de la cotizacion, seguido de un descenso tambien vertiginoso. El analisis de las causas a las que se debio el aumento y el descenso posterior de las cotizaciones ayuda a comprender las burbujas. En todos los casos las acciones llegaron a estar sobrevaloradas. Levitz, Home Shopping Network, MCI, Telepizza y Boston Chicken son claros ejemplos de exagerado optimismo sobre la magnitud y el crecimiento de los flujos futuros de las empresas. OM Scott es un claro ejemplo de mala comunicacion con el mercado. LTCM (Long Term Capital Management) es un ejemplo de riesgo no percibido por el mercado (y de deficiente control de riesgos de la empresa). English Abstract: Between December 1996 and October 1998, the value destroyed by Boston Chicken for its shareholders amounted to 3,293 million euros (a return of -100%). During the same period, the stock market yield (S&P500) was 54%. Between June 1998 and October 1999, the value destroyed by TelePizza for its shareholders amounted to 1,543 million euros (a return of -55%). During the same period, the stock market yield (IBEX 35) was -7%. It is very interesting to compare and try to differentiate what happened to these two companies. We also urge the reader to analyze the history of companies such as Levitz, Home Shopping Network, OM Scott, MCI, and LTCM.
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ejemployees de burbujas: teleppizza和Boston Chicken:价值破坏的例子
西班牙语摘要:7个真实的例子,公司有一个令人眩目的增长,随后也令人眩目的下降。对价格上涨和随后下跌的原因的分析有助于理解泡沫。在所有情况下,股票都被高估了。莱维茨(Levitz)、家庭购物网络(Home Shopping Network)、MCI、Telepizza和波士顿鸡(Boston Chicken)都是对未来业务流动规模和增长过度乐观的明显例子。OM Scott是与市场沟通不力的一个明显例子。长期资本管理(LTCM)是市场未察觉到的风险(以及公司风险控制不足)的一个例子。从1996年12月到1998年10月,波士顿鸡公司为其股东损失了329.3万欧元(回报-100%)。在同一时期,股票市场收益率(标准普尔500指数)为54%。在1998年6月至1999年10月期间,TelePizza为其股东损失了1543万欧元(-55%的利润)。在同一时期,股票市场收益率(IBEX 35)为-7%。比较和区分这两家公司的情况是很有趣的。我们还需要the reader to analyze the history of companies如Levitz OM, Home Shopping Network,斯科特,MCI, LTCM。
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