Statistical Analysis with Prediction Models of User Satisfaction in Software Project Factors

Katawut Kaewbanjong, Sarun Intakosum
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

We analyzed a volume of software project data and found significant user satisfaction in several software project factors. statistical significance A analysis (logistic regression) a collinearity analysis and determined the significance factors from a group of 71 pre-defined factors from 191 software projects in ISBSG Release 12. Eight prediction models were used to test the prediction potential of these factors: Neural network, k-NN, Naïve Bayes, Random forest, Decision tree, Gradient boosted tree, linear regression and logistic regression prediction model. Fifteen pre-defined factors were significant in predicting user satisfaction: client-server, personnel changes, total defects delivered, project inactive time, industry sector, application type, development type, how methodology was acquired, development techniques, decision making process, intended market, size estimate approach, size estimate method, cost recording method, and effort estimate method. They provided 82.71% prediction accuracy when used with a neural network prediction model. These findings may directly benefit software development managers.
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软件项目因素中用户满意度预测模型的统计分析
我们分析了大量的软件项目数据,并在几个软件项目因素中发现了显著的用户满意度。一种分析(逻辑回归)共线性分析,并从ISBSG第12版中191个软件项目的71个预定义因素中确定了显著性因素。采用神经网络、k-NN、Naïve贝叶斯、随机森林、决策树、梯度提升树、线性回归和逻辑回归等8种预测模型来测试这些因素的预测潜力。15个预先定义的因素在预测用户满意度方面是重要的:客户端-服务器、人员变更、交付的总缺陷、项目不活动时间、工业部门、应用程序类型、开发类型、如何获得方法论、开发技术、决策制定过程、预期市场、规模估计方法、规模估计方法、成本记录方法和工作量估计方法。与神经网络预测模型结合使用,预测准确率为82.71%。这些发现可能直接使软件开发经理受益。
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