Betting Against Quant: Examining the Factor Exposures of Thematic Indices

David Blitz
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Abstract

We examine the performance characteristics of recently introduced thematic indices using standard asset pricing theory. We find that thematic indices generally have strong negative exposures towards the profitability and value factors, indicating that they hold growth stocks that invest now for future profitability. As such, investors in thematic indices are effectively trading against quant investors, who prefer stocks that are currently cheap and profitable. From an asset pricing perspective, the negative factor exposures of thematic indices imply low expected returns. As there is clearly a clientele for thematic indices, we discuss how investing in these strategies may be rationalized despite their unfavorable factor exposures.
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做空量化:检视主题性指数的因素暴露
我们使用标准资产定价理论研究了最近引入的主题指数的表现特征。我们发现,主题指数通常对盈利能力和价值因素有很强的负敞口,这表明它们持有现在投资于未来盈利能力的成长型股票。因此,主题指数的投资者实际上是在与量化投资者进行交易,后者更喜欢目前便宜且有利可图的股票。从资产定价的角度来看,主题指数的负因子敞口意味着较低的预期回报。由于主题指数显然有客户,我们讨论了如何投资于这些策略可能是合理的,尽管他们的不利因素暴露。
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