Rural Income Growth and Convergence in Vietnam

Oh-Sang Kwon, Jongwook Lee, Hyo Jae Shin, Tae Soo Choi, Han Na Jeong
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Abstract

We investigated the growth and convergence in Vietnamese rural income using the household survey data, VHLSS of the years, 2004 and 2018. The regional convergences in the district level income sources were estimated and tested. We found that real agricultural income, off-farm income, and the whole farm income all increased and converged, but the convergence rate in off-farm income was much higher than that in agricultural income. The convergence in income implies that an overall increase in rural income in Vietnam will contribute to reducing poverty rate. We also found that the geographic characteristics are the main determinants of agricultural income growth rates. On the other hand, ethnic minorities and people living in poverty have difficulties in developing off-farm income sources despite the convergence tendency of off-farm income.
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越南农村收入增长与趋同
我们使用2004年和2018年的家庭调查数据,VHLSS调查了越南农村收入的增长和收敛。对区级收入来源的区域收敛性进行了估计和检验。我们发现,实际农业收入、非农收入和整个农业收入都在增长并收敛,但非农收入的收敛速度远高于农业收入。收入的趋同意味着越南农村收入的总体增加将有助于降低贫困率。我们还发现,地理特征是农业收入增长率的主要决定因素。另一方面,少数民族和贫困人口虽然有非农收入趋同的趋势,但在发展非农收入来源方面存在困难。
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