Contribution calculation of logistics industry to regional economic growth of Gansu Province

Luojuan Gao, Yuguang Wei
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Abstract

Owing to the accelerating urbanization process, the contribution of logistics development to regional economic growth is all the more significant in Gansu Province. Regional logistics is a significant booster for the development of regional economic integration. Therefore, in-depth discussion of the relevance between logistics industry and regional economy in Gansu Province, and quantitative analysis of the contribution of logistics to economic growth, are particularly important for enhancing Gansu's economic strength. Firstly, based on the situation analysis of logistics and economic growth in Gansu, this paper quantitatively selects five logistics indicators, including freight volume, cargo turnover, logistics mileage, logistics added value and the number of logistics employees, and one typical economic indicators GDP. Then, with the help of econometric theory and eviews10 software, the stationarity test and cointegration test of the selected indicators are carried out, which points out that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between various logistics indicators and economic indicators. And the Logistic model is further constructed to measure the contribution of freight volume to GDP. Eventually, reasonable suggestions such as strengthening logistics infrastructure construction and investment are put forward according to the calculation results.
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甘肃省物流业对区域经济增长的贡献计算
随着城市化进程的加快,甘肃省物流业发展对区域经济增长的贡献日益显著。区域物流是区域经济一体化发展的重要助推器。因此,深入探讨甘肃省物流业与区域经济的关联性,定量分析物流业对经济增长的贡献,对于提升甘肃的经济实力尤为重要。首先,在分析甘肃省物流与经济增长现状的基础上,定量选取货运量、货物周转量、物流里程、物流增加值、物流从业人员数量等5个物流指标和1个典型经济指标GDP。然后,借助计量经济学理论和eviews10软件,对所选指标进行平稳性检验和协整检验,指出物流各项指标与经济指标之间存在长期均衡关系。并进一步构建Logistic模型来衡量货运量对GDP的贡献。最后根据计算结果提出了加强物流基础设施建设和投资等合理建议。
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