External Debt and Economic Growth in Ghana

Isaac Bentum-Ennin
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Abstract

This study analyses the effect of growth rate of external debt on the growth rate of GDP and finds out whether Ghana suffers from a debt overhang problem. The results from a Johansen multivariate cointegration method employed on our data showed that (i) there exists a stable long run relationship among GDP, labour force, investment, exports and external debt; and (ii) the long run effect of external debt on GDP has been positive and that Ghana is not suffering from any debt overhang problem. This means that importation of capital or reliance on external resources will help promote economic growth in Ghana. It is therefore. ecommended that every effort should be made by authorities to make Ghana much more attractive to external resources. The results of the study also indicate that military coups (political instability) have not been significant in explaining the growth rate of GDP in Ghana.
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加纳的外债和经济增长
本研究分析了外债增长率对GDP增长率的影响,并找出加纳是否存在债务积压问题。采用约翰森多元协整方法对我国的数据进行分析,结果表明:(1)GDP、劳动力、投资、出口和外债之间存在稳定的长期关系;(ii)外债对国内生产总值的长期影响是积极的,加纳没有任何债务积压问题。这意味着资本的输入或对外部资源的依赖将有助于促进加纳的经济增长。因此。建议当局应尽一切努力使加纳对外部资源更具吸引力。研究结果还表明,军事政变(政治不稳定)在解释加纳国内生产总值的增长率方面并不显着。
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