Determining Photovoltaic Module Performance and Comparisons

A. Karaveli, T. Ozden, B. Akinoglu
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Knowing electricity production potential of a photovoltaic (PV) system prior to installation is very beneficial for the investor to see the feasibility of the investment. There are three procedures that can be followed to calculate the potential electricity production of any system under different conditions. These are installation of sample systems and gathering data over time, the use of some databases/software programs to reach the performances and developing new model/methodology to make these estimations. It is obvious that installation of PV systems everywhere is neither technically nor economically conceivable. On the other hand, global software programs may not reflect local conditions to calculations. Consequently, there is a need to develop methodology that is able to derive location specific equations and coefficients and make accurate estimations. Its accuracy can be controlled by validating the results for some locations with the measured values from already installed PV power plants (PV PP). So, in this study we initially develop a methodology to calculate efficiency and electricity production performance of some modules for Ankara and compare the results with the measured values owing to the system installed on the roof of the Middle East Technical University Solar Energy Research Center (METU GUNAM) in Ankara/Turkey. The methodology initially calculates solar irradiation falling on the modules that is the input. Then the performance of the module is calculated by using developed methodology. There are also some online software programs to calculate the performances, such as EU PVGIS and PV WATTS. We analyzed and used these software programs and compare their results with the results of newly developed methodology. As proven through mean-bias error (MBE), root-mean-square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) statistical comparison methods, the methodology of this study has given the most accurate results.
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确定光伏组件的性能和比较
在安装之前了解光伏系统的发电潜力对投资者了解投资的可行性是非常有益的。计算任何系统在不同条件下的潜在发电量有三个步骤。这些方法包括安装样本系统和收集数据,使用一些数据库/软件程序来达到性能,以及开发新的模型/方法来进行这些估计。很明显,在任何地方安装光伏系统在技术上和经济上都是不可想象的。另一方面,全球软件程序可能无法反映当地的计算情况。因此,有必要发展一种能够推导出具体地点的方程和系数并作出准确估计的方法。它的准确性可以通过验证一些地点的结果与已经安装的光伏电站(PV PP)的测量值来控制。因此,在本研究中,我们首先开发了一种方法来计算安卡拉一些模块的效率和电力生产性能,并将结果与安装在安卡拉/土耳其中东技术大学太阳能研究中心(METU GUNAM)屋顶上的系统的测量值进行比较。该方法首先计算落在作为输入模块上的太阳辐照度。然后利用开发的方法对模块的性能进行了计算。也有一些在线软件程序来计算性能,如EU PVGIS和PV WATTS。我们分析和使用了这些软件程序,并将它们的结果与新开发的方法的结果进行了比较。通过平均偏倚误差(MBE)、均方根误差(RMSE)和平均绝对误差(MAE)统计比较方法证明,本研究方法给出了最准确的结果。
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