Responding to Uncertainty

L. M. Johnson
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Abstract

There are numerous contexts, beyond disorders of consciousness, where there is a need for decisive action in the presence of unavoidable epistemic uncertainty. The ethics of uncertainty can help. This chapter examines three complex decisional contexts with intersecting, interacting epistemic and ethical uncertainty. The first is pain. Pain, like consciousness, is a subjectively phenomenal experience, the quality and quantity of which are hard to put into words. Pain sufferers encounter testimonial injustice because of the subjectivity, invisibility, and objective uncertainty of pain. The second context is vaccine research and development, and the emergency approval of COVID-19 vaccines under conditions of time pressure and uncertainty. The third context is research with conscious nonhuman animals. There are known, certain risks of harm to the animals, but the benefits of the research are epistemically uncertain. Judging the permissibility of such research requires considering inductive risks, and the principles of inductive risk.
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应对不确定性
除了意识障碍之外,还有许多情况需要在不可避免的认知不确定性中采取果断行动。不确定性的伦理可以有所帮助。本章考察了三个复杂的决策背景与交叉,相互作用的认知和伦理的不确定性。首先是痛苦。疼痛和意识一样,是一种主观的现象体验,其质量和数量难以用语言表达。由于疼痛的主观性、不可见性和客观不确定性,疼痛患者会遇到证词不公正。二是疫苗研发,在时间紧迫、不确定的情况下紧急审批新冠肺炎疫苗。第三个背景是对有意识的非人类动物的研究。对动物造成伤害的风险是已知的,但研究的好处在认知上是不确定的。判断此类研究的可容许性需要考虑归纳风险,以及归纳风险的原则。
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