Diagnosis expert system for the life time of transformers by using fuzzy Clustering

I. Terayama, Y. Kenmochi, J. Kobayashi, N. Iijima, H. Mitsui, M. Sone
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

1.Introduction In general, it is known that a life time of dry type transformer is reduced remarkably by partial discharges. The quality of insulation is kept constant as possible in the factory, but sometimes it is scattered by some reasons. The reliability of the products is much influenced by scatters of the quality. Therefore, it is very important to predict the life time of the products. So far it was done by measuring a withstand voltage. However, the withstand voltage test means a destruction of the products, so it is necessary to predict the life time by using undestructive tests. As an undestructive test, the magnitude of the partial discharge will be adaptable to an expert system for life time prediction. General expert systems were based on some threshold value, which did not have an objective meaning. So it is necessary to evaluate more objectively. By using an expert system with fuzzy clustering, it can be done to make a judgment taking the interactions of each data into considerat ion. Even if a characteristic of life time is not clear, this type of expert systems can establish an optimum expert with learning, and can watch not only the products but also the relationship between conditions of manufacturing machines and life. However, fuzzy clustering has a flaw that if data numbers increases, handling time becomes extremely long. So, it can not to do real time diagnosis of the products in manufacturing line. Therefore, we apply a high speed algorism using DSP (Digital Signal Processor) with high calculating speed to our expert system. In this paper, we suggest a diagnosis expert system for the life time of transformers by using fuzzy clustering and describe a method of prediction of life time in the manufacturing line.
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基于模糊聚类的变压器寿命诊断专家系统
1.一般来说,局部放电会显著降低干式变压器的使用寿命。绝缘质量在出厂时尽量保持恒定,但有时由于某些原因而分散。产品质量的分散性对产品的可靠性影响很大。因此,对产品的寿命进行预测是非常重要的。到目前为止,它是通过测量耐压来完成的。然而,耐压试验意味着产品的破坏,因此有必要通过无损试验来预测产品的使用寿命。作为一种无损检测,局部放电的大小将适用于寿命预测的专家系统。一般的专家系统都是基于一定的阈值,不具有客观意义。因此,有必要更加客观地评价。利用模糊聚类的专家系统,可以综合考虑各数据之间的相互作用,做出判断。即使寿命时间的特征不明确,这种类型的专家系统也可以建立一个具有学习能力的最优专家,不仅可以观察产品,还可以观察制造机器的条件与寿命之间的关系。然而,模糊聚类有一个缺点,即当数据数量增加时,处理时间会变得非常长。因此,无法对生产线上的产品进行实时诊断。因此,我们在专家系统中采用了一种基于DSP(数字信号处理器)的高速算法。本文提出了一种基于模糊聚类的变压器寿命诊断专家系统,并给出了一种生产线寿命预测方法。
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