{"title":"Forecasting Students' Grades Using a Bayesian Network Model and an Evaluation of Its Usefulensss","authors":"Keisuke Itoh, Hirotaka Itoh, Kenji Funahashi","doi":"10.1109/SNPD.2012.84","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The objective of this study is to utilize students' data to forecast their future grades, and to identify the students who would benefit from educational counseling. To achieve these purposes, we propose a Bayesian network model as a forecasting method. A Bayesian network is a graphical model that presents the dependence relationship among some variables in a graph structure. By calculating the probability value using the model, it is possible to make forecasts. Moreover, in this study, to facilitate the construction of a Bayesian network model, data mining is introduced.","PeriodicalId":387936,"journal":{"name":"2012 13th ACIS International Conference on Software Engineering, Artificial Intelligence, Networking and Parallel/Distributed Computing","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2012-08-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"4","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2012 13th ACIS International Conference on Software Engineering, Artificial Intelligence, Networking and Parallel/Distributed Computing","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SNPD.2012.84","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Abstract
The objective of this study is to utilize students' data to forecast their future grades, and to identify the students who would benefit from educational counseling. To achieve these purposes, we propose a Bayesian network model as a forecasting method. A Bayesian network is a graphical model that presents the dependence relationship among some variables in a graph structure. By calculating the probability value using the model, it is possible to make forecasts. Moreover, in this study, to facilitate the construction of a Bayesian network model, data mining is introduced.