The Link between Remittance and Economic Growth: An ARDL Bound Testing Approach

K. Dhungel
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

From the couple of decades remittances have been playing an important role in the Nepalese economy. For people of rural areas even for the urban households, remittance is becoming the major source of livelihood. Therefore, this study considers remittance as a focus variable with an aim to assess the link between remittance and growth. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model is applied to examine the relationship between remittance and growth. All the variables included in the analysis became stationary after first difference. The result of bound test confirms that the variables are cointegrated. It means the variables have long run relationship. The empirical result reveals that one percent increase in remittance increases the GDP by 0.36 percent in the long run. Similarly, the gross fixed capital formation, secondary school enrolment and the trade openness and per capita GDP have positive relationship. It implies that one percent increase in capital, labor and trade openness increases the per capita GDP by 0.82 percent, 0.46 percent and 0.30 percent in the long run respectively.
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汇款与经济增长之间的联系:一种ARDL约束检验方法
几十年来,汇款在尼泊尔经济中一直发挥着重要作用。对农村居民乃至城市家庭来说,汇款正成为主要的生计来源。因此,本研究将汇款作为重点变量,旨在评估汇款与增长之间的联系。采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型研究汇款与经济增长的关系。所有纳入分析的变量在第一次差分后都是平稳的。边界检验的结果证实了变量是协整的。这意味着变量之间有长期的关系。实证结果表明,从长期来看,汇款增加1个百分点可使GDP增长0.36%。同样,固定资本形成总额、中学入学率、贸易开放度和人均GDP也存在正相关关系。从长期来看,资本、劳动力和贸易开放度每提高1%,人均国内生产总值将分别提高0.82%、0.46%和0.30%。
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