The Impact of Industrial Structure Changes on Economic Growth in Jiangxi Province, China

Yulin Sun
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Abstract

China has transformed its industrial and economic structure since the start of the economic reform and the Open-door Policy. While modern cities are participating in this progress, less urbanized areas lagged behind these cities. This paper will attempt to explain this phenomenon by analyzing the impact of industrial structure optimization on economic growth by using a time series model from the data span of 1990 to 2018. This study shows that the modernization and rationalization of the industrial structure have a significant impact on economic growth, and the marginal effect of industrial modernization on economic growth is greater than the rationalization of the industrial structure. Furthermore, when the economic growth is slow, the low-level industrial structure can still maintain economic growth; but when the economic growth rate reaches a certain level, the low-level industrial structure will inhibit economic growth.
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江西省产业结构变动对经济增长的影响
改革开放以来,中国的产业结构和经济结构发生了巨大变化。虽然现代城市正在参与这一进程,但城市化程度较低的地区落后于这些城市。本文将利用1990 - 2018年的时间序列模型分析产业结构优化对经济增长的影响,试图解释这一现象。研究表明,产业结构现代化和合理化对经济增长的影响显著,产业现代化对经济增长的边际效应大于产业结构合理化。当经济增长缓慢时,低水平产业结构仍能维持经济增长;但当经济增长率达到一定水平时,低水平的产业结构会抑制经济增长。
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