Study on the Uncertainties of Transportation Network in Emergency Evacuation Management

Ling Zhang, F. Kong, Qingfeng Sun
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Abstract

On generally considering the uncertainties of the evacuation request unreliable, the constant change process of disaster and the personnel complex behavior as well as the high cost of model's infeasibility, the dynamic model of transportation network in emergency evacuation is built. It is proved that the emergency evacuation management is a typically uncertainty optimization problems through an example, which provide the foundation for further model optimization algorithms.
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应急疏散管理中交通网络的不确定性研究
在综合考虑疏散请求不可靠的不确定性、灾情的不断变化过程和人员行为的复杂性以及模型不可行性的高代价的基础上,建立了紧急疏散中交通网络的动态模型。通过实例证明了应急疏散管理是一个典型的不确定性优化问题,为进一步的模型优化算法提供了基础。
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