ANALYSIS OF THE METHOD FOR FORECASTING THE CONSEQUENCES OF AN ACCIDENT AT CHEMICALLY DANGEROUS OBJECTS IN THE SUBJECT OF ITS PRACTICAL USE AS INTENDED

Abstract

Problem statement. The purpose of introducing the Methodology for forecasting the consequences of hazardous chemicals spills (releases) during accidents at chemical hazardous facilities (CNO) and transport (hereinafter − the Methodology), was to eliminate discrepancies between the provisions of the Civil Protection Code and the then existing methodology. Therefore, it is relevant to establish the procedure for assessing the chemical situation by forecasting the scale of pollution in case of accidents with spill (release) of hazardous chemical substances (HCS) from technological containers at chemically hazardous facilities, road, river, rail and pipeline transport in accordance with the clause 18 of the Article 17 second part and clause 9 of the Article 35 first part of the Civil Protection Code of Ukraine. The purpose of the article. Study and analysis of the Methodology for its compliance with the set goal of practical use as intended. Conclusions. The implementation of the Methodology came at a time of pandemic quarantine (COVID-19), which was further complicated by martial law. Given that the Methodology has not become a component of the practical work for business entities and the topic of analysis and assessment in scientific circles, we suggest that the Ministry of Internal Affairs suspend its operation and announce a thorough discussion with the involvement of practitioners, scientists and all interested parties in solving chemical safety issues in Ukraine. The authors of the article carried out a detailed analysis with the provision of proposals and recommendations to eliminate discrepancies, overlays, contradictory statements of the Methodology. In the context of improving the material wording, the terms of the Methodology are explained. It is noted that it is advisable to use the Methodology that would correspond to the following principles: ease of use; efficiency of determining the main parameters; efficiency and relative accuracy of the forecast.