A Strategic Manufacturing Capacity and Supply Chain Network Design Contingency Planning Approach

Renato de Matta, T. Miller
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Abstract

We develop a contingency planning methodology for how a firm would build a global supply chain network with reserve manufacturing capacity which can be strategically deployed by the firm in the event actual demand exceeds forecast. The contingency planning approach is comprised of: (1) a strategic network design model for finding the profit maximizing plant locations, manufacturing capacity and inventory investments, and production level and product distribution; and (2) a scenario planning and risk assessment scheme to analyze the costs and benefits of alternative levels of manufacturing capacity and inventory investments. We develop an efficient heuristic procedure to solve the model. We show numerically how a firm would use our approach to explore and weigh the potential upside benefits and downside risks of alternative strategies.
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战略制造能力与供应链网络设计的应急计划方法
我们开发了一种应急计划方法,用于公司如何建立一个具有储备制造能力的全球供应链网络,在实际需求超过预测的情况下,公司可以战略性地部署储备制造能力。应急计划方法包括:(1)寻找利润最大化的工厂选址、生产能力和库存投资、生产水平和产品分布的战略网络设计模型;(2)建立情景规划和风险评估方案,分析制造能力和库存投资的成本和收益。我们开发了一个有效的启发式程序来求解该模型。我们用数字展示了公司如何使用我们的方法来探索和权衡替代策略的潜在上行利益和下行风险。
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