Implications of Tech-Enabled Transport on Planning and Investment of Transport Infrastructure

Karlson Hargroves, Daniel Conley, H. Dia
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Abstract

: As the world continues to experience rapid improvements in technology across most if not all sectors it will be important to understand how changes in technology affect longer term planning and decision making, especially in the infrastructure sector. This paper summarizes an investigation into how technology enabled transport stands to impact on business case development, risk assessment and economic modelling of transportation infrastructure, with implications for transport planning, design and operation in the medium to long term. The paper outlines the research findings of an industry-led investigation working with government and the private sector to investigate how anticipated changes in the level of technology enablement of vehicles may influence decisions around investment in transport infrastructure by transport agencies. The research was undertaken in three stages: Stage 1 involved the identification of precedent for policy changes to support and control the trialing and use of vehicles capable of driverless operation; Stage 2 involved the identification of 12 areas where technology change stands to directly influence infrastructure investment in the future; Stage 3 explored the 12 areas to identify 28 implications that were then prioritized into 6 key themes based on industry need and relevance. This prioritisation was based on industry partner perceptions of the level of influence of each area on investment decisions. Recommendations are provided for each area along with initial strategic considerations for further investigation. The research concludes that the transport sector needs to increase efforts to understand how rapidly developing technology will impact medium to long term decision to ensure that planning and design approaches and specifications are appropriately updated as the understanding of the technology and its implications improves. At the same time implications on the overall modal mix need to be carefully considered given new opportunities for automated on-demand services to enhance shared transit options and be provided by private operators as part of the primary transport network. This research has been developed with funding and support provided by Australia’s Sustainable Built Environment National Research Centre (SBEnrc) and its partners.
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科技运输对交通基建规划及投资的影响
随着世界上大多数(如果不是所有)领域的技术不断快速进步,了解技术变化如何影响长期规划和决策将变得非常重要,尤其是在基础设施领域。本文总结了一项调查,研究技术如何使交通运输对商业案例开发、风险评估和交通基础设施的经济建模产生影响,并对中长期的交通规划、设计和运营产生影响。本文概述了一项由行业主导的调查的研究结果,该调查与政府和私营部门合作,调查车辆技术实现水平的预期变化如何影响运输机构在交通基础设施投资方面的决策。该研究分三个阶段进行:第一阶段涉及确定政策变化的先例,以支持和控制能够无人驾驶操作的车辆的试验和使用;第二阶段涉及确定12个技术变革将直接影响未来基础设施投资的领域;第三阶段探讨了12个领域,确定了28个影响,然后根据行业需求和相关性将其优先划分为6个关键主题。这种优先次序是根据行业伙伴对每个领域对投资决策的影响程度的看法确定的。为每个领域提供了建议以及进一步调查的初步战略考虑。研究得出的结论是,运输部门需要加大努力,了解快速发展的技术将如何影响中长期决策,以确保随着对技术及其影响的理解的提高,规划和设计方法和规范得到适当的更新。与此同时,考虑到自动按需服务的新机会,需要仔细考虑对整体模式组合的影响,以增加共享过境选择,并由私营运营商作为主要运输网络的一部分提供。这项研究得到了澳大利亚可持续建筑环境国家研究中心(SBEnrc)及其合作伙伴的资助和支持。
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