An efficient decomposition technique for Markov-chain analysis

Arun Kumar Somani, U. R. Sandadi, D. Twigg, T. Sharma
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Abstract

A current trend in system design is to emphasize integration of various functionalities. This results in a complex environment to be handled by a fault tolerant system. The fault tolerance in the system is achieved by means of redundancy in the components, built in fault diagnosis, and sophisticated recovery/reconfiguration techniques. Reliability analysis of such systems is usually done using a Markov representation of the system. However, Markov chains tend to grow exponentially with the number of components, and beyond a certain size they become intractable. We propose techniques to manage the modeling of a class of systems by means of decomposing the system Markov chain into smaller Markov chains of manageable size. Our decomposition techniques facilitate modeling both repairable and nonrepairable systems with reduced complexity. These decomposition techniques are proved to be accurate analytically. The applicability of these schemes is shown through an example.
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马尔可夫链分析中一种有效的分解技术
当前系统设计的一个趋势是强调各种功能的集成。这就形成了一个由容错系统处理的复杂环境。系统中的容错是通过组件冗余、内置故障诊断和复杂的恢复/重新配置技术来实现的。这类系统的可靠性分析通常使用系统的马尔可夫表示来完成。然而,马尔可夫链往往会随着组成部分的数量呈指数增长,超过一定的规模,它们就变得难以处理。我们提出了通过将系统马尔可夫链分解为更小的可管理大小的马尔可夫链来管理一类系统的建模的技术。我们的分解技术简化了可修复和不可修复系统的建模,降低了复杂性。这些分解方法经分析证明是准确的。通过实例说明了这些方案的适用性。
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