14-Week Quarters

Rick Johnston, A. Leone, Sundaresh Ramnath, Ya‐wen Yang
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引用次数: 18

Abstract

Many firms define their fiscal quarters as 13-week periods. For these firms each fiscal year contains 52 weeks, which leaves out one/two day(s) a year. To compensate, one extra week is added to every fifth/sixth year; consequently, one quarter therein comprises 14 weeks. We find evidence of predictable stock returns and forecast errors in 14-week quarters, which suggests that investors and analysts do not, on average, adjust their expectations for the extra week. The ease with which 14-week quarters can be predicted, and expectations adjusted, suggests a surprising lack of effort on the part of investors and analysts.
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尽早季度
许多公司将其财政季度定义为13周的周期。对于这些公司来说,每个财政年度包含52个星期,这样每年就少了1 / 2天。作为补偿,每五、六年增加一个星期;因此,其中一个季度包括14周。我们在14周的季度中发现了可预测的股票回报和预测误差的证据,这表明投资者和分析师平均而言不会调整他们对额外一周的预期。14周季度的预测和预期调整如此容易,表明投资者和分析师出人意料地缺乏努力。
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