Data-driven two-stage stochastic programming for utility system optimization under uncertainty

Liang Zhao
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Abstract

The utility system is a popular research field in process optimization. At the same time, widespread uncertainties pose new challenges to this issue. This paper presents a data-driven two-stage stochastic programming (TSSP) to hedge against uncertainty. A kernel density estimation (KDE) method is used to calculate the probability density function from uncertain data. Based on the derived probability density function, Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) samples 8-dimension uncertain data to generate different scenarios. Lastly, a real-world case study is conducted to demonstrate the effectiveness of the approach.
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不确定条件下电力系统优化的数据驱动两阶段随机规划
电力系统是过程优化研究的热点。与此同时,普遍存在的不确定性给这一问题带来了新的挑战。本文提出了一种数据驱动的两阶段随机规划(TSSP)来对冲不确定性。采用核密度估计(KDE)方法从不确定数据中计算概率密度函数。LHS (Latin Hypercube Sampling)基于导出的概率密度函数,对8维不确定数据进行采样,生成不同的场景。最后,通过实际案例分析,验证了该方法的有效性。
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