Uncertainty estimation by Monte Carlo simulation applied to life cycle inventory of cordless phones and microscale metallization processes

A. Andrae, P. Moller, J. Liu
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Abstract

This paper addressed the question whether there is an environmental advantage of using DECT phones instead of GSM phones in offices. The paper also addresses the environmental compatibility of Electrochemical Pattern Replication (ECPR) compared to classical photolithography based microscale metallization (CL) for pattern transfer. Both environmental assessments consider electricity consumption and CO/sub 2/ emissions. The projects undertaken were two comparative studies of DECT phone/GSM phone and ECPR/CL respectively. The research method used was probabilistic uncertainty modelling with a limited number of inventory parameters used in the MATLAB tool. Within the chosen system boundaries and with the uncertainties added to input data, the ECPR is to 100% probability better than CL and the DECT phone is to 90% better than the GSM phone.
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蒙特卡罗模拟的不确定性估计应用于无绳电话生命周期库存和微尺度金属化过程
本文讨论了在办公室使用DECT电话而不是GSM电话是否有环境优势的问题。本文还讨论了电化学模式复制(ECPR)与经典光刻微尺度金属化(CL)模式转移的环境相容性。两项环境评估均考虑用电量和CO/sub - 2/排放量。所承担的项目分别是DECT电话/GSM电话和ECPR/CL的两个比较研究。采用的研究方法是在MATLAB工具中使用有限数量的库存参数进行概率不确定性建模。在选择的系统边界内,加上输入数据的不确定性,ECPR比CL的概率为100%,DECT电话比GSM电话的概率为90%。
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