Analysis of the Break-even and Load Index of Water Resources in Beijing

Dan Wu, Yanlai Jin, Yongkuan Wang, Haohan Shen
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The change of water resources quantity and water resources supply are elaborated in this paper to analyze water resources in Beijing. On this basis, the profit-loss amount and the profit-loss rate of water resources in Beijing are calculated by using break-even analysis. The water resource load index method is also employed to calculate the population and economic scale that can be supported by water resources in Beijing, and then reveal the relationship between water resources, population and economic development in Beijing. The results show that during the period from the 10th five-year plan to the 13th five-year plan, the total amount of water resources and the water resources per capita in Beijing have increased on the whole, but they are far below the internationally recognized warning line of extreme water shortage. The water resources in Beijing are in a state of "break-even", among which the surface water resources are in an alternating state of "break-even surplus break-even", while the groundwater resources are in a state of "break-even" to "surplus". The load index of water resources in Beijing continues to improve, and the population-economic scale of load per unit of water resources has reached
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北京市水资源收支平衡及负荷指数分析
本文从水资源量和水资源供给的变化两方面对北京市水资源进行了分析。在此基础上,通过盈亏平衡分析,计算出北京市水资源的损益金额和损益率。利用水资源负荷指数法计算北京市水资源可支撑的人口和经济规模,揭示北京市水资源、人口和经济发展之间的关系。结果表明:“十五”至“十三五”期间,北京市水资源总量和人均水资源量总体呈增长趋势,但远低于国际公认的极度缺水警戒线;北京市水资源处于“盈亏平衡”状态,其中地表水资源处于“盈亏平衡”的交替状态,地下水资源处于“盈亏平衡”到“盈余”的交替状态。北京市水资源负荷指数持续改善,达到单位水资源负荷的人口-经济规模
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